Following Sadiq Khan’s first 100 days in the role of London mayor, Estates Gazette looks at the former MP for Tooting’s progress on property issues in the capital
• Click here to read Sadiq Khan’s full manifesto
Khan’s property priority for London
Tackle the housing crisis, building thousands more homes for Londoners each year, setting an ambitious target of 50% of new homes being genuinely affordable, and getting a better deal for renters.
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Sadiq Khan’s affordable housing targets, rent caps and London first sales policies have come under fire in the aftermath of his election as mayor of London.
While the industry has given his appointment a cautious welcome many remain sceptical about key election pledges, emphasising a need for the consensus view to drive development
The PRS and rent caps
Many wanted confirmation that Khan would not undo much of the work the industry has and the Greater London Authority has done encouraging an institutional private rented sector in London.
They fear Khan’s calls for rent caps could deter development and investment, much as rent caps did in the 1960s.
“Mr Khan’s rent control plans are particularly worrying, as they are likely to force landlords out of the market, reduce housing supply, and deter would-be investors,” said Julian Goddard, head of residential at Daniel Watney.
“There is a real chance that Mr Khan’s policy on capping rents in new housing schemes would stymie development and enshrine the disadvantages in deprived areas of the capital, as well as harming the nascent build-to-rent sector, which will play a key role in providing new homes for Londoners.”
Melanie Leech, chief executive of the British Property Federation, said it wants to see Khan incorporating rental planning policy into the London plan, allocating a quarter of public sector land to rent, and a 7,500 target per year.
Dominic Grace, Savills head of London residential development, was more upbeat though about Khan’s intentions. “A promise to ‘use City Hall as a platform to attract institutional investors, pension and other investment funds to finance homes for long-term, secure rent’ is clear recognition that London needs homes of all tenures and not just homes for sale, as well as a commitment to unlocking public sector land,” he said.
Affordable housing
Khan’s policy of a 50% affordable housing target on all new development has been criticised for the potential effect it could have on development viability.
“A 50% social housing target on all new developments, while fulfilling an obvious requirement for more affordable housing in theory, is unlikely to have a positive effect,” said Michael Goldmann, sales and marketing director at Regal Homes.
“In fact these restrictions will prove counterproductive and may result in pockets of land remaining undeveloped.”
Ken Livingstone had a similar policy during his tenure, though actually, according to analysis by Estates Gazette, delivered a lower amount of affordable homes than Boris Johnson: 10,700 per annum to 13,400.
“There needs to be a serious review of affordable housing definitions as his ‘50% affordable’ target will damage overall levels of delivery unless it factors in discounted market rent, private rent and starter home type products.” Said Mark Farmer, chief executive at Cast.
• Housing applications under Boris Johnson
Londoners first
Khan’s intention to use planning conditions to ensure flats are marketed to Londoners first to combat buy to leave also drew fire.
Adam Challis, head of JLL Residential Research, said that in reality there is little evidence of buy to leave actually happening, while any restriction on demand would compromise the delivery of developments.
“The industry is already signed up to the mayor’s ‘London first’ concordat for sales, which commits to give Londoners first option on new homes in the capital and which we wholeheartedly support,” he said.
“Ultimately domestic demand is not strong enough to drive off-plan sales rates, so the issue here is that action to restrict overseas investors would simply destroy the viability of most schemes, and would reduce, not increase, the level of affordable housing delivery. We should remember that Ken Livingstone had this aim and never got close to implementing it.”
The construction crisis and infrastructure
The consensus was that Khan needs to put more emphasis on initiatives that will increase house building without stalling development.
“Constructions costs alone are increasing by around 8% each year, driven by labour and materials shortages, which makes higher supply scenarios challenging to say the least,” warned Challis.
According to Farmer, Khan should develop a strategy with the Skills Funding Agency to address the construction labour shortage.
“He will also need to look seriously at opportunities for GLA to embrace direct commissioning and delivery, including the possible direct funding or utilisation of off-site manufacture solutions at scale if they are to get anywhere near 50,000 units per annum,” he said.
Leech laid an emphasis on infrastructure to led development: “World-class infrastructure is a fail-safe catalyst for investment, which opens up new opportunities, makes land attractive to develop, and creates accessible places where people want to live. It is the closest thing to a silver bullet for encouraging development in the capital.”
Working across London
As Khan settles into his role the key will be be working with all the different involved parties to drive development.
“The recognition that any solution will need to embrace all parties involved in building homes is particularly welcome,” said Dominic Grace, head of London residential development at Savills.
“In setting up Homes for Londoners, Khan’s stated aim will be to ‘include councils, housing associations, developers, home-builders, investors, businesses, residents’ organisations’.”
Challis added: “Any mayor who can work with the grain of the market to create long-term and lasting solutions will make genuine progress in addressing London’s housing provision problems.”
“Khan has promised to be the most pro-business mayor yet, if he holds to this the development community will play its part in addressing the supply challenge.”
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LONDON MAYORAL ELECTION 2016
Khan beat Conservative candidate Zac Goldsmith by 1,310,143 to 994,614 votes, ending eight years of Conservative control at City Hall.
• Click here for a full breakdown of London election results
Who would be the most property friendly #London mayor? https://t.co/SFyv9Ai6Lz #PollingDay
— Estates Gazette (@EstatesGazette) May 5, 2016
THE CANDIDATES |
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Sian Berry Green Party |
David Furness British National Party |
George Galloway Respect |
Paul Golding Britain First |
Zac Goldsmith Conservative |
Lee Harris Cannabis is safer than alcohol |
Sadiq Khan Labour |
Ankit Love One Love Party |
Caroline Pidgeon London Liberal Democrats |
Sophie Walker Women’s Equality Party |
Peter Whittle UKIP |
Prince Zylinski Independent |
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